Early Bird Chat


All Times Eastern

10:30AM: President Obama receives the Presidential Daily Briefing

1PM: Press Secretary Josh Earnest holds the White House Briefing

3PM: President Obama participates in a conference call with rabbis for Rosh Hashanah

3:40PM: President Obama delivers remarks at the 2016 White House Tribal Nations Conference


106 Responses to “Early Bird Chat”

  1. September 26, 2016 at 8:43 am

    GOod morning TOD folks!

  2. 6 jackiegrumbacher
    September 26, 2016 at 8:59 am

    Morning all and thanks to you, Nerdy, for unfurling the TOD flag this early. No matter what happens on the debate stage tonight, the Republican Party and a good portion of the media will declare the Orange one the winner. However brilliantly Hillary performs, this is the determined outcome and there will be instant bogus polls to confirm the right wing/media opinion. Our side will push back on social media and there will be some ‘few’ responsible media who will try to set the record straight, but what we will see is basically a repeat of 2012–because first and foremost there must be a horse race. Our reaction to that can be rage and anxiety or we can pick up the pace of our on-the-ground efforts to elect not only Hillary, but a Democratic senate. IF–as a result of tonight’s debate– the number of Hillary volunteers soars and her war chest grows that will be the victory we need. Save your sanity and call the Hillary campaign today.

    • 7 jackiegrumbacher
      September 26, 2016 at 9:04 am

      As an added note–if you’re in a blue state, there are battleground states that need you–most notably Florida. Trump can’t win without Florida, so let’s make sure Floridians deliver the coup de grace on election day.

  3. 9 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:01 am

    Page Not Found, so I put the snippet here. Thank you, President Obama.

    Millions in US climb out of poverty, at long last

    Last edited Mon Sep 26, 2016, 04:26 AM – Edit history (3)

    Source: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/26/business/economy

    The Caicedos are among the 3.5 million Americans who were able to raise their chins above the poverty line last year, according to census data released this month. More than seven years after the recession ended, employers are finally being compelled to reach deeper into the pools of untapped labor, creating more jobs, especially among retailers, restaurants and hotels, and paying higher wages to attract workers and meet new minimum wage requirements.

    “It all came together at the same time,” said Diane Swonk, an independent business economist in Chicago. “Lots of employment and wages gains, particularly in the lowest-paying end of the jobs spectrum, combined with minimum-wage increases that started to hit some very large population areas.”

    Poverty declined among every group. But African-Americans and Hispanics — who account for more than 45 percent of those below the poverty line of $24,300 for a family of four in most states — experienced the largest improvement.

    Government programs — like Social Security, the earned-income tax credit and food stamps — have kept tens of millions from sinking into poverty year after year. But a main driver behind the impressive 1.2 percentage point decline in the poverty rate, the largest annual drop since 1999, was that the economy finally hit a tipping point after years of steady, if lukewarm, improvement.

    Read more: New York Times

    • 10 jackiegrumbacher
      September 26, 2016 at 9:08 am

      Thank you, Df. This article tells you all you need to know about why Republicans want to eliminate Social Security, kill the earned-income tax credit and abolish food stamps. All this improvement in the ‘lower’ classes impedes the triumph of the oligarchy. It must be stopped if they’re to achieve the utopia of the rich.

  4. 11 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:03 am

    • September 26, 2016 at 12:37 pm

      At some point, you have to take a stand. There are other values that a nonpartisan press tries to advance than evenhandedness. They hope that people will benefit from reading news that isn’t deliberately designed to sway them to one party or the other. But that hope is based on the idea that people benefit from getting factual information, not an impartial presentation of crap designed to make their lizard brain glow.

      The idea is to inform the public, and a nonpartisan press that abandons that goal might as well just chase their clicks and dollars the way the partisan press does because shareholders really have no preference.

  5. 13 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:05 am

    How can we juxtapose the both of these?

    • 14 desertflower
      September 26, 2016 at 9:07 am

      And this….

    • 15 desertflower
      September 26, 2016 at 9:07 am

      • 16 jackiegrumbacher
        September 26, 2016 at 9:15 am

        Df, this would be funny if it weren’t so tragic for our country. If you lie without even realizing you’re lying, you are a pathological liar, which means you are utterly unqualified to hold any office of trust–even at the county level. Conway is basically saying that Trump is a victim of his own pathology and cannot be held accountable for what he says. If we had a half-way decent media, this would be immediately called out as a statement by his own staff that he is mentally incompetent. Of course, all of DT’s lacks–mental or moral–are regarded as strengths by his followers.

        • 17 desertflower
          September 26, 2016 at 9:20 am

          Silly woman! The media aren’t “allowed” to correctly inform the populace! This is so disgusting. Pay attention, people!

  6. 18 CEB
    September 26, 2016 at 9:16 am

    Good Morning, TOD.
    Life in these United States is one of extremes and so many of them have been evidenced in just the past week: The opening of the museum on the mall celebrating our full American story to the murders of A-A men by cops; A justice who is responsible for the cutting of the VRA, being asked to speak about court challenges to institutional racism; the empathy and bravery of the white protestors who stood with linked arms in front of the black protestors to protect them (I cried buckets when i saw this) from being killed by cops and other actions of other Americans standing and kneeling in solidarity; a woman who has dealt with the slings and arrows and as the old folks sing, “have been ‘buked and scorned” for much of her life, is the only thing that stands between the country and the world against a nightmare. We are in many ways living the Chinese curse of “may you live in interesting times” but even as I despair at times, there are always examples that show that most people are good. That DT’s America is not the America for most of us. I need only to look at my family and friends to see that love comes in Black, White and everything in between. I will not be watching the sideshow that will be the debate tonight (I knew all I needed to know about both of them years ago and I have always known for whom I will be voting, so I will not give them ratings) mainly because I just cannot stand hearing and seeing that blowhard, nor see Lester Holt show everyone once again that he does not have a spine. I still feel that there will be a strong majority of Americans who will save our country and the world in November.

    • 19 desertflower
      September 26, 2016 at 9:24 am

      {{{CEB}}} Might be watching between my fingers…with the volume really low. I can not stand the sight, nor the sound of the pathological liar…. will be here though:) I agree with what you said. The heartbreaker for me will be seeing how many ignorant, racist people there are that live among the rest of us. We will move forward!

  7. September 26, 2016 at 9:19 am

    Good Morning, Everyone 🙂

  8. 23 amk for obama
    September 26, 2016 at 9:20 am

    Saudi women file petition to end male guardianship system.

    A petition signed by more than 14,000 Saudi women calling for an end to the country’s male guardianship system has been handed to the government.

    Women must have the consent of a male guardian to travel abroad, and often need permission to work or study.

    Support for the first large-scale campaign on the issue grew online in response to a trending Twitter hashtag.

    Activist Aziza Al-Yousef, who delivered the petition, told the BBC she felt “very proud” but now needed a response.

    In the deeply conservative Islamic kingdom, a woman must have permission from her father, brother or other male relative – or in the case of a widow, sometimes her son – to obtain a passport, marry or leave the country.

    Many workplaces and universities also demand a guardian’s consent for female employees and students, although it is not legally required.

    Renting a flat, undergoing hospital treatment or filing a legal claim often also require a male guardian’s permission, and there is very little recourse for women whose guardians abuse them or severely limit their freedom.


    • 24 desertflower
      September 26, 2016 at 9:25 am

      Forever overdue! Morning, amk

    • 27 CEB
      September 26, 2016 at 9:40 am

      I really hope and pray that the Saudi women and their supporters can overturn this tradition that infantilizes them and keeps half of the country’s resources untapped. It is only weak, scared, entitled, and not-so-bright people whose sense of worth is predicated upon the subjection of others. It is more than time out for any kind of suppression, racial, religious, gender, sexual orientation, etc. in every country, especially our own.
      I think about how unrealized my life would have been only 60 years ago here in the so-called “land of the free,” without the advances in civil rights and gender equality. Because we have made some advances I was able to have credit in my own name, buy my own home, earn advanced degrees, travel alone, vote at age 18, and be respected for my abilities. The Saudi women are strong and brilliant; I hope that they can win their freedom soon.

  9. 28 jackiegrumbacher
    September 26, 2016 at 9:28 am

    If your stomach starts to flutter from anxiety today, read Sam Wang. Combine Wang’s analysis with Al Giordano’s advice about the ground game and you know that it will all come down to turnout, which–unlike debates–is in our hands.


  10. 30 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:33 am

    You don’t say.

  11. 31 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:35 am

    Head Down…Walk, Talk, and Vote:)

  12. 32 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:42 am

    About damn time


    Donald Trump stepped over the line for many major news outlets when he chose to Rick-Roll the press and double down on the lies about his birther nonsense. All of the sudden they became more comfortable with using the “L” word about him. Now…just before the first presidential debate, the meme that “Donald Trump is a liar” seems to have caught on.

    For example, there was this headline from the New York Times: “A Week of Whoppers From Donald Trump.”

    Donald J. Trump has unleashed a blizzard of falsehoods, exaggerations and outright lies in the general election, peppering his speeches, interviews and Twitter posts with untruths so frequent that they can seem flighty or random — even compulsive.

    However, a closer examination, over the course of a week, revealed an unmistakable pattern: Virtually all of Mr. Trump’s falsehoods directly bolstered a powerful and self-aggrandizing narrative depicting him as a heroic savior for a nation menaced from every direction. Mike Murphy, a Republican strategist, described the practice as creating “an unreality bubble that he surrounds himself with.”

    The New York Times closely tracked Mr. Trump’s public statements from Sept. 15-21, and assembled a list of his 31 biggest whoppers, many of them uttered repeatedly.

    The Los Angeles Times weighed in with: “Scope of Trump’s falsehoods unprecedented for a modern presidential candidate.”

  13. 33 Allison
    September 26, 2016 at 9:50 am

    What happened to Nate??? This is BS!

  14. 39 JER
    September 26, 2016 at 9:54 am

    Will you be watching the debate on Monday night? Reduce your tension level with our Trump Debate Bingo game. Print out the cards and when you get 5 in a row, yell “Bingo!” You win, America loses.


    • 40 mtmarilyn
      September 26, 2016 at 10:27 am

      I don’t think I can watch tonight. With the moderators told not to fact check I don’t think I can listen to Trump spew lie after lie. I will admit with these new polls out saying things are close makes me so ill. I still have faith in the American people and in our ground game but how could it even be close. Having so many people hate so much is so scary.

      • September 26, 2016 at 12:30 pm

        Hi Marilyn. I am with you. It was really hard to watch the debates in 2008 and 2012 because I love the President so much, but the debate tonight is totally different. I cannot watch Trump period. I have my DVR set, but not sure I will ever watch. I will probably be on here just reading TOD’s comments.

  15. 44 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:54 am

    Know anyone that needs a “reason” to vote?

  16. 45 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:56 am


  17. 46 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 9:59 am

  18. 47 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 10:01 am

    Got to get ready for work:) Have a great day!

  19. 48 JER
    September 26, 2016 at 10:09 am

    LIVE NOW: 2016 White House Tribal Nations Conference – http://abcnews.go.com/live?stream=6

  20. 49 donna dem 4 obama
    September 26, 2016 at 10:21 am

    This debate is an important event in this campaign but don’t be fooled by the media because everyday from today until election day is an important day. My local campaign office had 30 people go into Philly this weekend to register voters and get their commitments to vote for Hillary this November. I’m told the response was overwhelmingly in favor for her. This is happening in other counties all over my blue state. Much to the media’s narrative, we are the “silent majority”. No, we don’t go to rallies for Hillary by the thousands and there is a false appearance that we are not excited to vote but trust me there is a quiet determination on our part to ensure that PBO’s legacy is secure and that we don’t let Donald Trump and his scandalous family sully the White House grounds with his occupation there.

    Hillary actually has a ground game that rivals PBO’s. The RNC is providing GOTV for Trump but his campaign actually has NO GOTV apparatus. With that said, because they are driven by hate and their desire after 8 years to take back the WH they don’t need very much to get them to vote. It is important that we do everything each one of us can singularly to make sure that we win on November 8th. Donate, Volunteer, Fundraise, Feed the Volunteers or even consider opening up your home to vols if you’re in a battleground state. Everyone can do something.

    Tomorrow is National Voter Registration Day. Ask your friends/family/neighbors if they are registered or know of a friend or family member who needs to register and help them to prepare to vote this November. Plan to to adopt a voter. Maybe there is someone in your neighborhood who needs a ride to the polls or a babysitter on Election Day. Be active and start planning now to do everything you can to get our voters to the polls.

    • 50 MadameSoph
      September 26, 2016 at 12:37 pm

      Thank you Donna Dem! I was looking for your take because I remember that, after the 2014 election devastation, you wrote that you had been avoiding commenting about the election on TOD because you had had a pretty good idea that the Dems would get crushed and we here were all like, “polls shmolls, it’s going to be fine.”

      Lately, while not resting by any means (am doing fundraising for my local Dem HQ with a friend), I am following the lead of David Plouffe, who reassures the bed-wetters, and remembering that in 2012, PBO was consistantly ahead in almost every poll, even though the numbers went up and down, and I am seeing that HRC seems to be repeating that pattern.

      But, still, I don’t want to deny reality, if Nate is somehow correct in his clickbait, so I have been scrolling fervently on the scary polling days, saying to myself, “What did Donna Dem say (or not say)?” 😅

  21. September 26, 2016 at 10:21 am

    Uh, people, it’s NOT a dead heat. Contrary to CNN and Nate Silver.

    • 52 Nena20409
      September 26, 2016 at 12:34 pm

  22. September 26, 2016 at 10:22 am

  23. September 26, 2016 at 10:31 am

    The debate tonight has been dubbed the email debate. The questions will mostly be about emails, Benghazi, Clinton foundation and pneumonia.
    Abd as usual trump gets a free pass.
    The reason the media isn’t doing the work when it comes to trump?
    Bc they’ve been emasculated by him & his supporters.
    This happened not long ago in Europe, as well. 👎👎👎👎👎

  24. 55 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 10:35 am

  25. 56 Linda
    September 26, 2016 at 10:35 am

    Good Morning…

    On Friday I caught the last couple of minutes of UpChuck Todd’s daily show and he told the truth, ( amazingly). He said that NBC pollsters sent their data to 5 outside polling companies to analyze and got back different results . 2 of them had Clinton leading by 4 points. 1 had Trump ahead by 1 point and the other 2 had Clinton leading by 1.

    Basically he was saying that noone can believe what the polls say.

  26. 57 Don
    September 26, 2016 at 10:40 am

    Its interesting that certain segments of society will give Trump a free pass, he’s never held elected office. He owes Russia and China upwards of a billion dollars, he constantly insults minorities both male and female. He’s been married about three times and has filed for bankruptcy three or four times.

  27. 58 desertflower
    September 26, 2016 at 10:40 am

    Do the hard work…the rest will take care of itself

  28. September 26, 2016 at 10:45 am

    Good morning TOD 🙂

    Wishing all of you a refreshing day …. bbl …….


  29. September 26, 2016 at 10:50 am

  30. September 26, 2016 at 10:52 am

  31. 64 JER
    September 26, 2016 at 10:52 am

    First Lady, Michelle Obama will be in Philadelphia to campaign for Hillary Clinton at La Salle University’s Tom Gola Arena, located at 1900 W. Olney Ave. on Wednesday, September 28 – 12:00 pm. – Doors open 9:00 am. After that she’ll head across the state for a late afternoon rally at the Fitzgerald Field House at the University of Pittsburgh at 3:30 p.m

  32. 65 Don
    September 26, 2016 at 10:55 am

    So apparently America will give you her keys if you’ve never held elected office and are morally bankrupt.

  33. September 26, 2016 at 10:57 am

    Yup …

    Most definitely ….

  34. September 26, 2016 at 10:59 am

  35. September 26, 2016 at 11:00 am

    If Facts Don’t Matter, Presidential Debates Are Just a Reality Show
    by David Atkins
    September 25, 2016 3:09 PM

    Janet Brown, the executive director of the Commission on Presidential Debates has declared that the debates should be a fact-check-free zone:

    “I think personally, if you start getting into fact-checking, I’m not sure. What is a big fact? What’s a little fact? And if you and I have different sources of information, does your source about the unemployment rate agree with my source? I don’t think it’s a good idea to get the moderator into essentially serving as the Encyclopedia Britannica.”

    This is terrible on many levels. Debates are supposed to illustrate how the candidates would respond to a variety of policy challenges. Those challenges depend on having a shared set of facts: a 10% unemployment rate would create a very different policy environment from a 5% unemployment. If each candidate is claiming different unemployment statistics, you don’t have a debate. You have a noisy argument that sheds a lot of heat and no light. It’s a useless exercise.

    Moreover, the example she gave is frankly bizarre. It’s one thing to dispute, say, models of economic growth or the efficacy of various foreign policy approaches. But the unemployment rate? That has a single reliable source: the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That is literally the only legitimate source for unemployment numbers. There is a small debate within economic circles as to whether the BLS unemployment statistics appropriately reflect the reality of economic pain within the country, in terms of not counting people who stopped looking for work or potentially ignoring too many of the underemployed. Some people use a U6 model for unemployment rather than a U3 model. But the starting point for any reasonable discussion of the unemployment rate is the official BLS number.

    If one candidate says that unemployment is at 5% and the other candidate says it’s much higher, it’s absolutely the job of a moderator to inform the public that the official BLS statistics support one candidate’s assertion. The candidate trying to claim an alternate reality should then be pressed to say why they disbelieve the BLS, proving either that they’re a conspiracy monger, or potentially that they have a sophisticated critique of the government’s economic model–which would certainly be an interesting and informative conversation, but one that can only happen in the context of a single, authoritative factual source acknowledged by both candidates.

  36. 71 jacquelineoboomer
    September 26, 2016 at 11:05 am

    Good morning, TOD! I wait for the White House Tribal Nations Conference each year! President Obama kept his promise to keep them in the story, and to show them the same respect the tribal leaders have shown him.

    The collaboration will never be finished, can never be finished, but he honors them just the same – and vice versa.

    We remember the early story: http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/19/obama-adopted-by-native-americans/?_r=0

    And a return trip: http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/obama-makes-historic-trip-indian-country#52680

    • September 26, 2016 at 11:36 am

      I love this conference, too. I watch it every year and this one is especially poignant as each cabinet member remarks, each question posed, is about how they can sustain all the good work President Obama has done. So much high praise. Seeing Sec Jewell cry at the end of her speech, thanking all of them for their work, was incredibly moving.

  37. 73 JER
    September 26, 2016 at 11:25 am

    74 Terrible Things Donald Trump Has Done…This Month | The Closer with Keith Olbermann | GQ

    Finding it hard to keep up with all of Donald Trump’s outrageously un-presidential behavior? Don’t worry, Keith Olbermann is keeping count. This may take a while.

  38. September 26, 2016 at 11:33 am

  39. 75 vcprezofan2
    September 26, 2016 at 11:38 am

    Monday GREETINGS, one and all!

    Hi, Ms Wonka. This is going to be a *good* day (I’m willing it 😉 )!

  40. 76 yardarm756
    September 26, 2016 at 11:42 am

    Go morning TODville…I awoke to see these MSM salamanders gyrating and darting about as if in search of their orgasm of truth…Pitiful!

  41. 77 yardarm756
    September 26, 2016 at 12:03 pm

    “The big pre-debate debate has been over whether moderator Lester Holt of NBC should serve as “fact-checker” in the debate, missing the point that if a candidate says something false, any decent journalist will ask appropriate followup questions, such as how the candidate reconciles their bullshit with known facts, common sense, and/or physics.

    A pre-debate Pew poll shows that many voters still don’t know where Clinton and Trump stand on the issues. Trump has stood everywhere on every issue depending on which day he was talking. Clinton, meanwhile, has issued more position papers than there are issues, promising to do her homework every day to win the support of voters who routinely skipped school to get high and play Candy Crush.”

    • 78 arapaho415
      September 26, 2016 at 12:28 pm

      GM Y756.

      More evidence that our MSM is worse than worthless (by “lowering the bar” for Trump, just as his deplorable surrogates have demanded):


      For evidence that the question of fact-checking wasn’t an issue for primary debates:

      (Don’t know who these guys are, or which is which… ) Guy on left said “If that [fact-checking] was so easy, Chris Wallace would have done it…”


  42. September 26, 2016 at 12:30 pm

    Hay I finally got my October Essence with POTUS and FLOTUS on the cover.

    • 82 vcprezofan2
      September 26, 2016 at 12:43 pm

      😎 Annieb. Enjoy. I’m still waiting for mine to arrive.

    • 83 MadameSoph
      September 26, 2016 at 12:51 pm

      Oh good, Bella! I was worried it was no longer available. I looked for it a couple places and couldn’t find it, but I have a couple more places I haven’t checked yet…

  43. September 26, 2016 at 12:32 pm

    Republican anti-Trump columnist talks about Trump’s taxes and his Russia problem

  44. September 26, 2016 at 12:35 pm

    NO surprise Ava is teaching some much suppressed history!!!!

  45. September 26, 2016 at 12:36 pm

    Trump Is So Awful Even the Rich are Voting Against Their Own Interests
    by David Atkins
    September 25, 2016 7:00 AM

    Hillary Clinton has had a pretty good week, all things considered. Clinton’s appearance on Between Two Ferns was widely watched and well received, humanizing her in a millennial-friendly setting. She has refocused her campaign to be less about Trump’s weaknesses than on her agenda to improve Americans’ lives. Both of these should help shore up her weakness with millennial voters.

    Another big help, if she can stay focused on it and get the press to cover it in more depth, is her proposal to increase the estate tax to 65%. It’s the sort of economic populist approach that the country needs, and that the voters Clinton needs to turn out will appreciate.

    It could, in theory, come at the expense of the very wealthy and their adherents. But so far, Clinton is doing just fine on those fronts–in fact, for the first time in decades high-income voters are favoring the Democrat to enter the Oval Office:

  46. September 26, 2016 at 12:40 pm

    GM, TOD! Morning session of Tribal Nations Conference was OUTSTANDING! So proud of our POTUS! Promise made; Promise kept! Was tearing up with Sec Jewel…

    Looking forward to FLOTUS coming to Philly on Wednesday; going to try to make it, however, as doors open at 9, and it’s in North Philly/Olney, not sure I want to deal with rush hour traffic. A 45 min drive could take two hours… I hope the campaign will schedule HRC and one of the big three to come to Chester (city), PA, especially since trump has been to Chester Township (Aston) twice in the last two weeks. Interesting piece on Chester City Blog, bottom line: “Maybe we’re just spoiled. Obama campaigned in Chester which makes some of us think presidential candidates do know we exist. I doubt if Trump will be back and we’ll see if Clinton will make her way here.

    If not, someone will still be our next president, regardless.” complete piece here > > > https://chesterpablog.wordpress.com/2016/09/24/trumps-comments-were-off-by-a-mile/

    Doing a read by… tons of house & tax work to do. BBL…

  47. 89 Nena20409
    September 26, 2016 at 12:42 pm

    Hello TOD.
    Thanks to NW, TOD keeps TODville Community buzzing along.
    Congrats to Gold ⭐ winners on this post & on the last Post.
    {{{ ❤ Chips ❤ }}}

  48. 90 globalcitizenlinda
    September 26, 2016 at 12:56 pm

    Note to self : use the polls you don’t like to motivate you to work harder towards the poll that really matters – the votes cast by the end of election day.

  49. 91 donna dem 4 obama
    September 26, 2016 at 1:07 pm

  50. 93 Nena20409
    September 26, 2016 at 1:13 pm

    LIVE, WH Presser with Josh “The Voice” Earnest is starting shortly.

  51. 94 Nena20409
    September 26, 2016 at 1:22 pm

  52. 96 Nena20409
    September 26, 2016 at 1:23 pm

  53. 97 Nena20409
    September 26, 2016 at 1:30 pm

  54. 98 mtmarilyn
    September 26, 2016 at 1:34 pm

    I hope you are listening to the Tribal “Asked and Answered” https://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2016/09/26/asked-and-answered-president-indian-country. The young people talking now are amazing. Things are changing.

  55. September 26, 2016 at 1:50 pm

    Good news on the Senate prospects:

  56. September 26, 2016 at 1:53 pm

  57. 102 Nena20409
    September 26, 2016 at 2:30 pm

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