03
Oct
14

Early Bird Chat

Twenty Two Years Ago Today

****

MoooOOOooorning – Happy Friday!


147 Responses to “Early Bird Chat”


  1. 1 Grab a Mop Grace
    October 3, 2014 at 7:10 am

    Happy anniversary to the beautiful couple!

  2. 16 Roberta in Mn
    October 3, 2014 at 7:11 am

    GM Chips

  3. October 3, 2014 at 7:20 am

  4. 22 otter 44
    October 3, 2014 at 7:22 am

    Happy Anniversary to the First Couple,an inspiration to us all. Hope they have an extraordinary day.

  5. 23 jackiegrumbacher
    October 3, 2014 at 7:25 am

    Morning Chips and TODers. I hope the White House schedule includes time out for the Obamas to enjoy some time together at a restaurant of their choice. Anniversaries are special–every single one of them Yesterday, we put together a calendar of events for local and state campaign activities and it was enormous. Anyone interested in getting involved could find something to do every single day of the week. I really urge everybody to check their local Democratic Committee website or call to ask how you can help. Or, call your state committee. Rather than succumb to gloom or nervous anxiety, it helps to do something, contact voters, make a difference.

  6. 25 donna dem 4 obama
    October 3, 2014 at 7:26 am

    GM Ms. Chips and TOD

    Here’s one we don’t see often. I believe pictured with them is his brother and sisters Rob and Auma as well as Maya.

    Have a great day everyone!

    • 26 jackiegrumbacher
      October 3, 2014 at 7:28 am

      Thanks, Donna. They all look beautiful. Maya is movie-star stunning. How did your phone banking go last night?

      • 27 donna dem 4 obama
        October 3, 2014 at 7:49 am

        It went well. I went Wednesday night to the DCCC and last night to my county local office to help with getting volunteers for our Governors race.

        I was surprised at the number of volunteers on Wednesday night. The room was filled with people. The calls went okay I left lots of messages. Persuasion calls are the toughest calls to make. I spoke to 12 people and only one was not enthused to vote. He said he would have to think about it some more. Geesh!

        I spoke to the team leader about those doom and gloom emails and he said that he agreed that they are ‘a bit over the top’. He said that people should call the DNC office and share their opinion on them. I told him I would pass that on to you all.

        I feel a lot more comfortable about the on the ground effort taking place. I asked about voter registration and he said it is happening in states where there is a competitive Governors or Senate race. He told me that Dems have registered over 100K new voters in GA for example. I don’t want to give everything away but he said that they would be using more technology to GOTV has the election day draws nearer.

        Overall a good experience. BTW the DCCC is housed at the DNC HQ.

        • 28 jackiegrumbacher
          October 3, 2014 at 8:47 am

          Donna, thanks for the update and all your hard work. It is damned tough making persuasion calls. My earlier reply to you got lost in the ozone, but wanted to sympathize with you about the people you encounter on calls. So many people don’t see the connection between themselves and the democracy they live in, so voting is something that really doesn’t concern them that much. When you do hit a caller that “gets it,” it’s like hitting the jackpot. It really feels sweet.

    • 29 Grab a Mop Grace
      October 3, 2014 at 7:30 am

      Donna, I’ve never seen this photo before! Thank you.
      They were, and still are, a beautiful family.

    • October 3, 2014 at 7:30 am

      Gorgeous!! Morning Donna!

    • October 3, 2014 at 9:29 am

      Stunning photo! I’m so happy they have each other.

  7. October 3, 2014 at 7:26 am

    I’m Here!!!!!

    Good Friday, Chipsticks…TOD Family!

  8. 38 amk for obama
    October 3, 2014 at 7:34 am

    girls night? #testingwaters

  9. 47 dotster3
    October 3, 2014 at 7:40 am

    That top photo of President Obama at Northwestern yesterday in the post below———isn’t he the handsomest man in the whole wide world? Answer: yes.

  10. October 3, 2014 at 7:44 am

  11. 51 Don
    October 3, 2014 at 7:50 am

    My wife and I celebrated our 17th or 18th year wedding anniversary in either June or July of this year.

  12. 58 catrst
    October 3, 2014 at 7:51 am

    Morning. Had to put this comment somewhere. I looked in on Princeton Election Consortium last night. Saw Sam Wang’s response to Nate Silver and it occurred to me that, like those questions on the verbal sections on college aptitude tests, there’s a comparison here. Sam Wang is to President Obama as Nate Silver is to Chris Christie. Let me explain. Silver is a gambling (sports) brat that found an opening for his particular kind of “game” in the political world. The dark side of the political world. Just like Glenn Greenwald is to journalism, Nate Silver is to a serious and productive use of stats. Chris Christie found that his maneuvers and bullying could fit with the New Jersey environment and he could impress people there with his bravado. Silver found the same thing when he entered the slimey side of politics. Christie, Greenwald, Silver, Snowden, Assange, and Rand Paul are the same kind of personality and will react the same way to any challenge. Sam Wang, the President and people like that are serious, constructive, fair and have normal reactions to challenges. Wang’s response to Silver is all about what a serious person of integrity does with criticism. Silver only knows how to bully. Interesting how people’s true natures come out in the end.

    • 59 Don
      October 3, 2014 at 8:10 am

      Your analysis of the Silver is spot on, but Silver did predict President Obama’s electoral vote count pretty accurately. Like most clairvoyants, Sliver started believing his own hype and in the end he started to take what he does to seriously. At this point in time Sliver is only interested in getting paid; he might as well move to Costa Rica and open an off-shore sports book.

      • 60 hopefruit2
        October 3, 2014 at 8:19 am

        Actually, Little Nate underestimated PBO’s electoral vote count – and it was only within a few days of the election that he came close to the actual count. In fact, the weekend before election Tuesday, he put out an article “Should Obama quit Florida?” basically suggesting that it was not a good use of resources in since Romney would likely win that state. I remember that very well, because I was apoplectic on TOD and couldn’t understand why he would want to discourage voters at such a critical time.

        After the First Presidential debate he started using MSM memes to describe PBO’s dropping in the polls (PBO didn’t drop – Romney voters got more enthusiastic thanks to the MSM who made them think that Romney performed so fantastically and PBO did so poorly). He also made a very snarky comment about Elizabeth warren doing very well in her MA race against Brown despite Obama’s “terrible performance” on the 1st debate. Spandan (then Deaniac) actually wrote a piece on TPV calling out Silver on his disingenuous use of bad Republican-skewed polls – a slew of which were released right after the first debate to make it seem as though PBO’s polls were dropping. Little Nate then defensively responded that he uses all polls – good & bad and the good polls should even out the bad (we know that’s garbage).

        • 61 amk for obama
          October 3, 2014 at 8:28 am

          yup, wang and linzer fared better and did it more consistently that silver, who has a propensity to fall for the noise.

          • 62 arapaho415
            October 3, 2014 at 9:30 am

            Don’t forget @JeffersonObama, who many here at TODville relied on to keep our wits about us thinking of the possibility of an R-money (disastrous economic “policies,” someone who offended every nation he mentioned/visited except Israel, a man who children cannot get away from fast enough, etc.) Koch-puppet president, Paul “Granny-starved eyes” Ryan hypocrite and Miss “I am SO much better than you” Ann.

        • 63 Don
          October 3, 2014 at 8:28 am

          Thank you, hopefruit2, thats why I love this place. At any given time either you or chips or LL will drop some knowledge.

          • 64 hopefruit2
            October 3, 2014 at 8:38 am

            Any time Don…just know that every single person here – you included – contributes to my (and our) learning of new & relevant info!!!

        • 65 99ts
          October 3, 2014 at 9:15 am

          Before Nate went to NYT – he did evaluate polls and he rejected some pollsters because of their methods – one in particular I remember because it seemed they were not even doing many calls. Getting into the big money doesn’t seem to help the analysis

    • 66 jackiegrumbacher
      October 3, 2014 at 8:51 am

      Excellent analysis, catrst. Silver has really gone for the fame and the name, which is why he’s so overused by Democratic fundraisers in the annoying, “Nate Silver says…” e-mails. He put us through a lot of emotional turmoil in 2012 and only started to get it right at the very end. I don’t trust him or believe his predictions.

      • 67 arapaho415
        October 3, 2014 at 9:35 am

        MSM was so clueless about how to harness the power of the Internet that they were attracted to Nate “geek makes good” Silver, which is understandable — I was rooting for his success because I used to follow his analysis over at d-Kos.

        I enjoyed his writing style, which probably says more about me than him.

        But that was 6 years ago, several generations ago in Internet-time.

        MSM still hasn’t gotten over their infatuation with Silver, cause they all harbor a desire to be another “geek makes good” on the national stage.

    • 68 Vicki
      October 3, 2014 at 9:37 am

      Brilliant analysis, catrst. Wow!

  13. October 3, 2014 at 8:06 am

  14. 71 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 8:28 am

    Jobs report out soon…

    • October 3, 2014 at 8:34 am

      Wooooooooooot!!!!

      • October 3, 2014 at 8:37 am

      • October 3, 2014 at 8:43 am

        GREAT NEWS!!!!

        In the overnight news reports, the expectation was that payroll would be around 218,000 – 220,000 and that the jobless rate would remain at 6.1%. That in itself was a good report. So it’s even more fantastic that the actual numbers came in even better. πŸ™‚

      • 75 jackiegrumbacher
        October 3, 2014 at 8:54 am

        As has been said before but bears repeating every day–if a Republican president had produced these kinds of economic results and excellent jobs news, he would be touted as the greatest in history and bridges, schools, airports would be renamed for him. They would also be chiseling out his features on Mt. Rushmore. My memory is not so dim that I’ve forgotten the despair and panic of an economy spiraling out of control six years ago. This president, aided by a then Democratic Congress, turned this country around and don’t let anybody forget it.

        • 76 57andfemale
          October 3, 2014 at 8:58 am

          And if the govt was doing what it has done in EVERY recession/depression since the beginning of the country, we’d be investing in infrastructure and this would have been the most historically successful recovery in history. All for pettiness and lies. Astounding.

          Remember, Reagan’s “good” jobs numbers came from increasing the military. W. swelled the federal government. We’re starting to make things and export goods.

          • 77 jackiegrumbacher
            October 3, 2014 at 9:16 am

            57, the neglect of our infrastructure out of spiteful pique on the part of the GOP is one of the crimes of this century. They should be pilloried for it and not one of them re-elected. Instead, the idiotically ill-informed US voters, will vote them in again. In my dream world, I would like for every driver who hits a pothole, or travels over a dangerous bridge to see a sign that says, “this road/bridge is what you get when you vote Republican.”

    • 79 desertflower
      October 3, 2014 at 8:36 am

      BOOM! 5.9%….. http://live.reuters.com/Event/Jobs_Report

      Good morning and welcome to Jobs Friday! The Labor Department released payrolls data for September, which came in at 248,000 jobs added – a healthy dose higher than the expected 215,000. The unemployment rate dropped to 5.9 percent.

    • October 3, 2014 at 8:48 am

      So have the media and GOP-TP’s started losing their minds yet? The alternate universe in which they live does not allow them to accept any news that would be a favorable for PBO. The tantrums and the denials should be coming fast and furious.

  15. 83 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 8:32 am

    OKAY? BOOOOM!!!!

  16. 84 57andfemale
    October 3, 2014 at 8:34 am

  17. 85 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 8:37 am

    Last month’s “not-so-hot” report has been revised UP, as well as July’s!! πŸ™‚

  18. October 3, 2014 at 8:42 am

  19. 92 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 8:43 am

    Paging Bobswern of Old Orange….

  20. 95 dotster3
    October 3, 2014 at 8:45 am

  21. 96 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 8:45 am

    PBO will have an extra pep in his step today when he gives his Indiana speech on manufacturing jobs. Plus it’s his wedding anniversary…what a great way to end what began as a seemingly lousy week with all that SS crap! πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚

  22. October 3, 2014 at 8:45 am

  23. October 3, 2014 at 8:48 am

    Um, I’ve been offered a job πŸ™‚

    • 100 hopefruit2
      October 3, 2014 at 9:10 am

      Congrats on your new position Chips!!! Wishing you a long and successful career….

      • October 3, 2014 at 9:12 am

        Thanks Hopefruit! I just handed in my notice at my current job, hoping to start Monday in my new one. I don’t actually know what it is, but that makes it exciting!! πŸ˜†

        • 102 hopefruit2
          October 3, 2014 at 9:14 am

          Yes, quitting your current job while knowing absolutely nothing about your new job is always the best way forward. Excellent advice handed down through the generations!

  24. 103 Nerdy Wonka
    October 3, 2014 at 8:48 am

  25. 105 Linda
    October 3, 2014 at 8:50 am

    Harold Ford Jr….

    Lift the oil embargo and approved the Keystone Pipeline.

    hahahaha……he needs a new gig.

    • 106 COS
      October 3, 2014 at 8:52 am

      GM TOD. Love waking up to all of this great news. Wow, employment rate is 5.9.

    • 107 0388jojothecat
      October 3, 2014 at 9:51 am

      I know. Thom and some economist he had on every week in 2009 predicted the economy great crash every April. He had people so paniced for no reason. Thom has a book out now that there will be a crash in 2016.

  26. 108 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 8:51 am

    Glad to see a member of the CBC giving PBO the credit he deserves for job creation and economic growth….

  27. October 3, 2014 at 8:52 am

    Well now we know why the MSM is freaking out on ebola in Texas?
    Bc UE rate is 5.9%… The where are the jobs Mr President talking points is moot!!

    • 111 hopefruit2
      October 3, 2014 at 9:13 am

      You’re so right Jovie…the MSM is going to be hyperfocused on EBOLAH! in the next 24-72 hrs….until the GOP/Rove/Koch faction can come up with a new distraction….

      But, we the people won’t let them distract us – they are fast becoming a useless echo chamber…

  28. 112 57andfemale
    October 3, 2014 at 8:54 am

  29. 113 GGAIL
    October 3, 2014 at 8:54 am

    Good West Coast morning Chipsticks & TOD family.

    Happy Anniversary POTUS & FLOTUS Obama!!!

    YAY it’s Friday! Clap along if you’re happy πŸ˜€

  30. 114 Nerdy Wonka
    October 3, 2014 at 8:54 am

    • 115 jackiegrumbacher
      October 3, 2014 at 9:01 am

      You bet they wish that, Nerdy. No other leader in the world has done what PBO has. He’s turned the US economy from a disaster into a soaring success with one hand, while, with the other hand, he’s gone about successfully solving some of the most troubling global crises since WWII.

      • October 3, 2014 at 9:19 am

        As he said in his speech on yesterday, he is going around the obstructionist Congress and finding other avenues of job creation…local and state governments, businesses, philanthropists…and that “partnership” will continue to grow.

        Those that ridiculed his experience as a community organizer…not laughing so much now.

  31. October 3, 2014 at 8:55 am

  32. 118 dotster3
    October 3, 2014 at 8:57 am

    Here’s a Hearty Belly Laugh to accompany all the Good News this a.m.———Lindsey Graham will explore a presidential bid if he wins re-election!!! Tingling with excitement at the possibility of President Lindsey! (Repubs are seriously delusional)

  33. 124 Nerdy Wonka
    October 3, 2014 at 8:57 am

  34. 125 amk for obama
    October 3, 2014 at 8:59 am

  35. 126 dotster3
    October 3, 2014 at 9:00 am

    πŸ™‚

    • 127 desertflower
      October 3, 2014 at 9:21 am

      πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ This one left me laughing hard!! VERY familiar with the “Republic of Witches Stand”….

  36. 128 dotster3
    October 3, 2014 at 9:08 am

    Princeton, In., a “powerhouse of manufacturing” is looking forward to the presidential visit today. PBO will be at thriving minority-owned Millennium Steel, which supplies Toyota.

    http://www.wthr.com/story/26692569/2014/10/02/gibson-county-provides-backdrop-for-obamas-message-on-economy-jobs

  37. 129 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 9:09 am

  38. October 3, 2014 at 9:15 am

    So will the spineless Democrats continue to distance themselves from the President, or will the fair-weather friends start coming out of the woodwork, pretending that they always had his back?

  39. 138 desertflower
    October 3, 2014 at 9:17 am

    http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/job-growth-picks-steam-sept-unemployment-rate-drops#break

    With some pretty charts and this:

    At this point, with the year more than half over, 2014 is on track to be the best year for U.S. job creation since 1999.

    Bite me, RWNJ’S. Best President Ever.,

  40. 139 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 9:21 am

    More goodies from Pete – fresh off the press!

  41. 140 anniebella
    October 3, 2014 at 9:22 am

    I just heard the jobs report. All I’m going to say is πŸ™‚

  42. 141 desertflower
    October 3, 2014 at 9:25 am

  43. 142 desertflower
    October 3, 2014 at 9:27 am

  44. 144 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 9:29 am

  45. 145 hopefruit2
    October 3, 2014 at 9:35 am

    Exactly! Heckling – especially when you’re heckling an ally for your cause – is a particularly cowardly act. It reflects poorly on the heckler and his/her advisers.

  46. 147 carolyn
    October 3, 2014 at 9:40 am

    I saw on the previous post that the President had called the mayor of Dallas from AF1, asking if they were receiving all the fed help they needed in this ebola situation, and I’m sure having a good discussion with him. He was smart to deal directly with the Dallas mayor. He is a smart man of integrity. I’m sure PBO talked with Guv Goodhair, but he knows the one who will do something and be productive is the mayor.

    I emailed my kids and said I sure hoped they never had to use Presbyterian health ctr, the hospital that made all the mistakes!

    I hope Wendy Davis capitalizes on this for healthcare…….Perry refused Medicaid expansion, which would have been the first line for the ebola victim, instead of another expensive, overrun emergency room.


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